
Promoting Your Best Individual Contributor Is a Risk, Not a Reward
Excellence at the work predicts very little about excellence at leading the work. Here is what to assess instead.
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Talent DevelopmentInherited teams get judged against an imagined ideal. A fairer and more useful method: assess against the work, in three passes.
New leaders form views of inherited teams quickly, often within two weeks, and those early views are frequently wrong in both directions. The confident communicator gets overrated. The quiet person carrying the hardest work gets missed entirely.
The reason is that first impressions in organizations are formed in meetings, and meetings measure meeting skills. A more reliable method takes about a quarter and has three passes.
Map what the team is actually accountable for, where the load sits, and which parts are fragile. Then look at who does what. You will usually find that responsibilities and titles have drifted apart, that one or two people are absorbing an unreasonable amount of undocumented complexity, and that at least one role exists for historical reasons.
Judging individuals before this map exists means judging them against a job you have imagined rather than the one they hold.
Reviews and status meetings show you presentation. To assess capability, observe closer to the work: a customer conversation, a technical decision, how they handle a change of plan, what they do when something breaks.
Three questions worth answering for each person:
The third is the one most often ignored and the most predictive of how much scope someone can eventually hold.
Do not confuse the person who explains their work well with the person who does it well. Sometimes they are the same. Frequently they are not.
By week eight or so you should be able to tell each person what you see, plainly: this is where I think you are strong, this is what I am watching, this is what would change my assessment. Do it individually and do not hedge to the point of meaninglessness.
Most inherited-team problems are not capability problems. They are people who have been quietly mismatched to their role for two years while everyone was polite about it.
A significant share of apparent underperformance resolves when the shape of the job changes. The excellent operator drowning in stakeholder management, the strong specialist who was made a manager because there was no other path, the senior person whose scope shrank after a reorg and who checked out.
Try the reshape first, explicitly and time-boxed. When it works, you have kept institutional knowledge you could not have replaced. When it does not, you have a clear record and a much easier conversation.
Once you are confident, delay is unkind to everyone, including the person. Teams read tolerated underperformance as a statement about standards, and the strongest members read it first. The window in which decisive action is understood as fair rather than arbitrary is roughly one to two quarters.
The goal of the three passes is not to be slow. It is to be right before you are fast.
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Excellence at the work predicts very little about excellence at leading the work. Here is what to assess instead.

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